Piecing together disparate data for economic and market insights
The pandemic, much less fatal than earlier feared, is now beyond control, but the economy can still be helpedNeelkanth Mishra | Last Updated at September 2, 2020 02:10 IST (This was published in the Business Standard: link) The Covid-19 pandemic count continues to grow in India, but most concurrent indicators of economic activity continue to … Read more
Diverging fiscal responses to the crisis can create serious macroeconomic challenges for countries globallyNeelkanth Mishra | Last Updated at August 5, 2020 01:42 IST (This was published in the Business Standard: link) The Reserve Bank of India’s (RBI’s) balance sheet size has grown sharply to 27 per cent of gross domestic product (GDP) in early … Read more
As private investment and consumption settle at far lower levels than earlier anticipated, the government’s role in the economy over the next two years or so would need to be much larger than it has been in the last three decades.Written by Neelkanth Mishra | Updated: July 29, 2020 8:58:37 am (This was published in … Read more
Improving efficiency in producing and converting edible calories when demand weakens could throw new social challengesNeelkanth Mishra | Last Updated at July 1, 2020 00:14 IST (This was published in the Business Standard: link) Will food be the channel through which unprecedented monetary intervention may drive inflation? Will the earth run out of land and … Read more
Will the strategy of society instead of the State controlling the virus be tested by rising deaths?Neelkanth Mishra | Last Updated at June 3, 2020 00:04 IST (This was published in the Business Standard: link) “Countries would be assessed on State capacity,” said a New York-based investor who specialises in trading on macroeconomic trends. This … Read more
We believe a continued focus on reforms and on sustaining India’s growth potential will be critical in preventing macroeconomic instability.Written by Neelkanth Mishra | Updated: May 15, 2020 9:52:41 am (This was published in the Indian Express: link) The battle against the virus is likely to last several more months, implying prolonged curtailment of economic … Read more
It may be better for governments to bear the losses upfront than after the damage is doneNeelkanth Mishra | Last Updated at May 5, 2020 23:53 IST (This was published in the Business Standard: link) It now looks clear that we must learn to live with coronavirus, as the active case count is unlikely to … Read more
To minimise economic damage during the lockdown, focus on cash flows, promise of growthNeelkanth Mishra | Last Updated at March 31, 2020 23:49 IST (This was published in the Business Standard: link) “I have seen power blackouts as enemy bombers flew overhead, have stood in long queues to collect kerosene, and have lived through food … Read more
Some observers are also concerned about what high deficits would do to India’s credit ratings. It remains to be seen how agencies respond to globally large fiscal deficits monetised by central banks; India may not be an outlier here.Written by Neelkanth Mishra | Updated: March 28, 2020 10:49:41 am (This was published in the Indian … Read more
Global financial market stress driving market volatility; economic impact of coronavirus and drop in oil prices remain uncertainNeelkanth Mishra | Last Updated at March 15, 2020 23:06 IST (This was published in the Business Standard: link) Global markets are in turmoil. Some volatility is normal: Existential issues generally crop up every year or two, causing … Read more