‘Equity risk premium of Indian markets is near historic lows’ – interview with LiveMint

This appeared in the paper on 13 December 2021 (link). Equity risk premium of Indian markets is still near historic lows, indicating that the strong medium-term prospects for Indian economy are more than priced in, said Neelkanth Mishra, co-head of Asia-Pacific strategy and India equity strategist at Credit Suisse. In an interview, Mishra said policymakers … Read more

How to open up?

To know where to go, we must know where we are; a nation-wide seroprevalence study may cost one-hundredth of the GDP it can help saveNeelkanth MishraLast Updated at May 31, 2021 23:26 IST This appeared in the Business Standard on 1 June 2021 (link). With active Covid cases having fallen to nearly half the peak … Read more

The indifferent market

The expectation that restrictions may last weeks and not months explains the market’s apparent casual view of the pandemic Neelkanth Mishra | Last Updated at May 9, 2021 22:07 IST This appeared in the Business Standard on May 9, 2021 (link). Despite the scary increase in daily new cases and deaths in the second wave … Read more

PLI: A pro-growth turn in government policy

The growth impact of PLI schemes could start showing up in FY22Neelkanth MishraLast Updated at February 8, 2021 22:41 IST This appeared in the Business Standard on 8 February 2021 (link). Total central government spending in FY22 should be unchanged from the government’s revised numbers for FY21, with the pandemic-triggered allocations to save lives and … Read more

Signals from the market

The narrower stock-market indices may stay disconnected from prospects of the Indian economyNeelkanth Mishra | Last Updated at February 12, 2020 22:23 IST (This was published in the Business Standard: link) The stock market is widely believed to be a forward-looking indicator of the economy. While one may struggle to find an individual who has … Read more

Economic Survey 2018 may not shape Budget 2018, but it’s a treasure of insights

Since demonetisation, 10.1 mn new taxpayers have filed returns, versus an average of 6.2 mn in the prior 13 monthsNeelkanth Mishra | Last Updated at January 30, 2018 12:47 IST (This was published in the Business Standard: link) The Economic Survey 2018 (ES) is not really a precursor to the Union Budget 2018; that is, … Read more

Lies and the Sensex

Why popular stockmarket indices are not an accurate barometer of the robustness of the Indian economy.Written by Neelkanth Mishra | Updated: December 22, 2015 12:09:36 am (This was published in the Indian Express: link) Headlines mislead sometimes (some would say at all times). The tyranny of the headline lies in its indispensability despite it being … Read more