The Consumption Conundrum

Neelkanth Mishra | March 28, 2024, 11:45pm This was published in the Economic Times on 29 March 2024 (link). ‘If the economy is growing so fast, why is our volume growth so weak?’ is a question asked by management teams of several large consumer companies. These concerns have intensified after the recent strong GDP release, … Read more

The policy inversion

With global economic policy preferences being the opposite of those seen after the 2008-09 crisis, so should be the implicationsNeelkanth Mishra | Last Updated : Jul 13 2023 | 9:33 PM IST This appeared in the Business Standard on July 14, 2023 (link). Despite headline inflation having moderated meaningfully from the peak, bond yields in … Read more

A potent channel

Recent evidence of a sharp slowdown in house construction in major markets poses downside risks to global growthNeelkanth Mishra | Apr 10 2023 | 10:31 PM IST This appeared in the Business Standard on April 11, 2023 (link). An important and potent channel of monetary policy transmission is the housing market. Weakness in housing demand … Read more

‘Equity risk premium of Indian markets is near historic lows’ – interview with LiveMint

This appeared in the paper on 13 December 2021 (link). Equity risk premium of Indian markets is still near historic lows, indicating that the strong medium-term prospects for Indian economy are more than priced in, said Neelkanth Mishra, co-head of Asia-Pacific strategy and India equity strategist at Credit Suisse. In an interview, Mishra said policymakers … Read more

The energy headwind

The surge in energy prices is a concern for growth; even if temporary, a reminder of India’s strategic dependence on imported energy Neelkanth Mishra | Last Updated at November 8, 2021 22:05 IST This was published in the Business Standard on November 9, 2021 (link). Not just humans, but economies also need energy to grow: … Read more

Signals through the fog

Logistical disruptions are pushing apparent demand away from real demand, exacerbating the bull-whip effectNeelkanth MishraLast Updated at September 1, 2021 22:40 IST This appeared in the Business Standard on September 2, 2021 (link). Over the past eight months, freight rates have risen rapidly. While bulk freight rates have risen too (in particular for the smaller … Read more