Piecing together disparate data for economic and market insights
The bond market has been stress-tested, and is seeing structural strengtheningNeelkanth Mishra | Last Updated at July 3, 2019 02:30 IST (This was published in the Business Standard: link) How worried should one be about the bond market? In a financial market that is constrained for capacity, the bond market was expected to step into … Read more
Fight against the last vestiges of inflation threatens to undo significant policy gains of recent yearsNeelkanth Mishra | Last Updated at June 5, 2019 02:18 IST (This was published in the Business Standard: link) It is rare for consensus to emerge among hundreds of millions of humans. When it does, like it did in the … Read more
New government should utilise its enormous political capital to introduce economic reformsWritten by Neelkanth Mishra | Updated: May 31, 2019 2:05:12 am (This was published in the Indian Express: link) Hundreds of millions of people rarely agree on who should make decisions on their behalf. The BJP now has an overwhelming majority in the Lok … Read more
If the real repo rate, the term premium and credit spread were to normalise, borrowing rates could fall by more than 2 percentage pointsNeelkanth Mishra | Last Updated at April 30, 2019 21:37 IST (This was published in the Business Standard: link) Are we saving enough? Like it is for households, the question is an … Read more
The constraints in the financial system have further worsened the monetary tightness. As growth continues to slow and inflation stays below the target, interest rates may keep falling, but likely not fast enough to revive growth quickly.Written by Neelkanth Mishra | Updated: April 17, 2019 7:38:21 am (This was published in the Indian Express: link) … Read more
Besides the difficulty in predicting election results, there are four other reasonsNeelkanth Mishra | Last Updated at April 3, 2019 00:06 IST (This was published in the Business Standard: link) What do you think will happen in the elections? This is a question that comes up in every investor meeting these days. I usually start … Read more
Economic growth solves many problems. Can lower interest rates help reverse the slowdown?Neelkanth Mishra | Last Updated at March 6, 2019 01:08 IST (This was published in the Business Standard: link) Debatable as the analytical utility of quarterly GDP statistics in India may be, the continuing drop in growth rates as recently reported for the … Read more
A 7 per cent GDP growth rate may be lower than what India aspires for, but over a five-year horizon this means 40 per cent higher demandNeelkanth Mishra | Last Updated at February 7, 2019 23:49 IST (This was published in the Business Standard: link) After a long period of weakness, investment activity in the … Read more
The income transfer scheme was the highlight of the budget. But its success will need deft manoeuvring.Written by Neelkanth Mishra | Updated: February 5, 2019 1:26:58 am (This was published in the Indian Express: link) Like in each of the previous two years, the run-up to the budget this year was rife with fears of … Read more
Low food prices hurt cash availability in the rural economy, and loan waivers make that worseNeelkanth Mishra | Last Updated at January 22, 2019 21:25 IST (This was published in the Business Standard: link) “Bazaar mein paisa nahin hai” (there is no liquidity in the market) has become a common refrain of distributors and wholesalers … Read more