Piecing together disparate data for economic and market insights
May 19, 2026 | This appeared in the Economic Times print version on 20 May 2026 (link). The kindest take on the recently concluded US-China summit in Beijing was that the relationship has ‘improved’ from antagonism to direct engagement. That the meeting ended without acrimony was an achievement. The US has recalibrated its approach towards … Read more
This appeared in the Times of India on 14 May 2026 (link). Well into the third month of the Iran war, earlier assumptions of a short-lived conflict have now been well and truly negated. Over the past week, even as physical shortages of oil seem to have eased, the price of oil for March 2027 … Read more
In this video, Bidisha and I discuss India’s economic outlook, focusing on the upcoming Union Budget 2026: global economic turbulence, India’s growth drivers, and critical policy priorities. Main points We discuss the significant risk posed by disruptions to global capital flows, drawing parallels to the period between 1989 and 1993. Major global players like the … Read more
Geopolitics, Not blinking, Growth, Policy challenges, State level reforms
Post-US/EU sanctions, energy markets aren’t panicking; there’s other supply & India’s macroeconomy can easily adjust This was published in the Times of India on 25 October 2025 (link). In a change of tactics to end the Russia-Ukraine war, the US has blacklisted two Russian oil majors Lukoil and Rosneft. This is designed to prevent foreign … Read more
We discuss how the world is changing, the thawing of India China relationship, US Tariff impact on India, the US India relationship, possibility of de-dollarisation, the rise of Digital Currency, how the US policymakers are much more agile than India’s governance structure allows, India’s growth slowdown and how it is reversing, FII selling in India.
Last Updated: May 13, 2025, 12:44:00 AM IST This appeared in the Economic Times on 13 May 2025 (link) An investing Rip Van Winkle who went to sleep on April 1 and woke up now, would not realise the world had seen the biggest shock to global trade since WW2. Equity markets, including in the … Read more
This appeared in the Economic Times on 8 July 2024 as “Chinese takeaway plus one“. Over the last few years, as the US-China strategic conflict has intensified, ‘China+1’ has become a popular phrase. Countries, including India, have jostled to be the ‘+1’, easing policies and providing incentives to attract foreign firms trying to reduce their … Read more
Global financial market stress driving market volatility; economic impact of coronavirus and drop in oil prices remain uncertainNeelkanth Mishra | Last Updated at March 15, 2020 23:06 IST (This was published in the Business Standard: link) Global markets are in turmoil. Some volatility is normal: Existential issues generally crop up every year or two, causing … Read more