trade

Podcast: Global turbulence, India’s growth engine & the case for fiscal discipline (The Print)

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In this video, Bidisha and I discuss India’s economic outlook, focusing on the upcoming Union Budget 2026: global economic turbulence, India’s growth drivers, and critical policy priorities. Main points We discuss the significant risk posed by disruptions to global capital flows, drawing parallels to the period between 1989 and 1993. Major global players like the … Read more

No Russian Oil? Likely No Problem

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Post-US/EU sanctions, energy markets aren’t panicking; there’s other supply & India’s macroeconomy can easily adjust This was published in the Times of India on 25 October 2025 (link). In a change of tactics to end the Russia-Ukraine war, the US has blacklisted two Russian oil majors Lukoil and Rosneft. This is designed to prevent foreign … Read more

Chat on Global Reset, India’s prospects

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We discuss how the world is changing, the thawing of India China relationship, US Tariff impact on India, the US India relationship, possibility of de-dollarisation, the rise of Digital Currency, how the US policymakers are much more agile than India’s governance structure allows, India’s growth slowdown and how it is reversing, FII selling in India.

China + 1 = China?

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This appeared in the Economic Times on 8 July 2024 as “Chinese takeaway plus one“. Over the last few years, as the US-China strategic conflict has intensified, ‘China+1’ has become a popular phrase. Countries, including India, have jostled to be the ‘+1’, easing policies and providing incentives to attract foreign firms trying to reduce their … Read more

Stresses, known and unknown

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Global financial market stress driving market volatility; economic impact of coronavirus and drop in oil prices remain uncertainNeelkanth Mishra | Last Updated at March 15, 2020 23:06 IST (This was published in the Business Standard: link) Global markets are in turmoil. Some volatility is normal: Existential issues generally crop up every year or two, causing … Read more

India, US, and a better case for business

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The economic impact of Obama’s trip will be better understood months or years down the line. But a good start has been made.Written by Neelkanth Mishra | Updated: January 29, 2015 2:22:47 am (This was published in the Indian Express: link) It would be myopic to judge the economic impact of US President Barack Obama’s … Read more

The upside of the falling rupee

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How India is using the opportunities in a weak currency,  in terms of import substitution and a spurt in exports. Written by Neelkanth Mishra | October 4,  2013 2:29:00 am This appeared in the Indian Express. (link) A weak currency helps growth, and is in many ways equivalent to monetary easing. One recalls the fear … Read more