A better year than expected

While the economy may be slowing, it is growing above consensus estimates Neelkanth Mishra | December 31, 2022 11:56 IST This appeared in the Indian Express on 31 December, 2022 (link) Restrictions imposed on activities were fully eased only around March this year. But, they had mostly been lifted by September 2021. We can now … Read more

Good news before budget: pick up in India’s manufacturing exports

Jan 30, 2022, 20:00 IST | Neelkanth Mishra This appeared in the Times of India on 31 January, 2022 (link). There’s something to cheer before the budget – India’s goods exports are a record high $393 billion, after having stagnated in the $250-330bn annual range for a decade. A robust revival in global goods trade … Read more

Good news: The Rich are spending

Data shows India’s top 10% in brisk consumption mode. Trend will likely hold post-festivals Neelkanth Mishra | Oct 19, 2021, 19:14 IST This appeared in the Times of India on October 20, 2021 (link). Our mobility-based estimate of GDP suggests the rate of output last fortnight was where it would have been had there been … Read more

How high we can bounce

Written by Neelkanth Mishra |Updated: July 22, 2021 8:03:13 am What will India’s post-restriction economic output look like? It is likely to be much higher than currently expected, but still below the pre-pandemic path This column first appeared in the print edition on July 22, 2021 in the Indian Express (link). Now that there is … Read more

Beyond the farm

Recent surveys suggest a sharp drop in agricultural employment. What must the government do?Written by Neelkanth Mishra | Updated: March 30, 2017 12:00:16 am (This was published in the Indian Express: link) We stand at a critical point in India’s economic history, when jobs finally appear to have started shifting away from agriculture. During the … Read more