Piecing together disparate data for economic and market insights
Indian government bonds are now cheaper than Indian equities. The post-Budget rise in bond yields in India is more due to plumbing challenges than insufficient savings Neelkanth Mishra | Last Updated at February 7, 2022 23:20 This appeared in the Business Standard on February 8, 2022 (link). As economies emerge out of the shadows of … Read more
Governments face a new fiscal situation: They have more funds than they can allocate Written by Neelkanth Mishra | Updated: February 2, 2022 4:58:16 am This appeared in the Indian Express on 2 February 2022 (link). If the tax-to-GDP ratio continues to climb, as it appears likely to, fiscal space may continue to expand, even … Read more
Jan 30, 2022, 20:00 IST | Neelkanth Mishra This appeared in the Times of India on 31 January, 2022 (link). There’s something to cheer before the budget – India’s goods exports are a record high $393 billion, after having stagnated in the $250-330bn annual range for a decade. A robust revival in global goods trade … Read more
Tax receipts are surging and markets are primed for higher state government deficits, but states are struggling to spend Neelkanth Mishra | Last Updated at January 11, 2022 00:13 IST This appeared in the Business Standard on January 11, 2022 (link). One can easily spend a few thousand rupees, maybe even a few lakhs, but … Read more
Housing down-cycle shaved more than 1 per cent from growth annually for nearly a decade; it is turning now Neelkanth Mishra | Last Updated at December 13, 2021 23:10 IST This appeared in the Business Standard on 14 December 2021 (link). India needs to build one crore new houses every year. The country’s population will … Read more
This appeared in the paper on 13 December 2021 (link). Equity risk premium of Indian markets is still near historic lows, indicating that the strong medium-term prospects for Indian economy are more than priced in, said Neelkanth Mishra, co-head of Asia-Pacific strategy and India equity strategist at Credit Suisse. In an interview, Mishra said policymakers … Read more
Over the next 3-5 years, there’s enough banking capacity to support healthy economic growth Neelkanth Mishra | Dec 9, 2021, 19:32 IST This appeared in the Times of India print version on December 10, 2021 (link) Despite RBI’s official stance staying ‘accommodative’, normalization of monetary policy in India started in September, with the central bank … Read more
In this episode of PanchaMantra, we discuss the housing market. Housing is one of the highest value needs of a family. In India, structural demand growth should persist for at least two more decades if not longer. Why then did a prolonged down-cycle in dwelling construction shaved more than one percent a year from GDP … Read more