Piecing together disparate data for economic and market insights
In this chat we put the recent changes to GST into context, discussing the history of indirect taxes in India, some of the challenges in implementing GST, and the impact of this reset on inflation, demand, and growth. We discuss how rate rationalization can boost consumption without straining fiscal math, how input tax credit works … Read more
We discuss India’s opportunities across semiconductors, AI, digital public infrastructure, and startup ecosystems. From India’s $18B bet on chip manufacturing to the role of Aadhaar, UPI, GST, and ONDC in transforming credit and payments, to India’s chances of leapfrogging in innovation and diffusion while building global partnerships. We chat about India’s competitiveness in the AI … Read more
We decode the macroeconomic outlook for India, addressing: How India is navigating economic headwinds, The impact of tariff trends and trade policies, Key drivers of India’s growth story and policy reforms, and what lies ahead for investors, businesses, and policymakers.
We discuss how the world is changing, the thawing of India China relationship, US Tariff impact on India, the US India relationship, possibility of de-dollarisation, the rise of Digital Currency, how the US policymakers are much more agile than India’s governance structure allows, India’s growth slowdown and how it is reversing, FII selling in India.
Here Mukesh and I explore why the Trump moves aren’t just about trade, but about four bigger objectives. Covering various topics from stagnant U.S. wages and life expectancy gaps to America’s renewed manufacturing drive for national security, this we discuss the forces influencing today’s shifting geopolitical landscape. We explore why a dollar devaluation may be … Read more
We discuss how demographic changes are faster than economic shifts, the Ego, Economy, Ethnicity Framework, the strong links between demographics and Economic Growth, the impact of Aging Populations, immigration as a solution, and India’s demographic outlook
We discuss lessons India can draw from past currency wars to navigate the turbulent years ahead. We discuss how, in the decade before the Bretton Woods system, countries devalued their currencies to gain trade advantages—and how similar pressures are resurfacing today as major economies look to depreciate their exchange rates. Drawing on global historical patterns, … Read more
Aug 1, 2025, 20:33 IST If India stops buying Russian energy, it won’t lose much because the price advantage per barrel vis-à-vis Brent is down to two dollars or so. But were India & China to stop buying from Russia, global oil prices will likely jump, hurting everyone, US consumers included This appeared in the … Read more
This was published in the Economic Times on 8 July 2025 (link) RBI has eased monetary conditions, with MPC members talking of ‘the need to support growth’. The focus now shifts to the first step in growth restoration-a revival in credit growth, that is, monetary transmission. How fast can credit growth pick up, and by … Read more
Last Updated: May 13, 2025, 12:44:00 AM IST This appeared in the Economic Times on 13 May 2025 (link) An investing Rip Van Winkle who went to sleep on April 1 and woke up now, would not realise the world had seen the biggest shock to global trade since WW2. Equity markets, including in the … Read more