Piecing together disparate data for economic and market insights
Neelkanth Mishra | Last Updated at January 9, 2023 22:55 IST This appeared in the Business Standard on 10 January 2023 (link). In Tessellatum, over the last two months we have discussed two of the major implications of Asia’s ageing: That the demographic shift in 10 major Asian economies (the A-10: China, India, Indonesia, Japan, … Read more
While the economy may be slowing, it is growing above consensus estimates Neelkanth Mishra | December 31, 2022 11:56 IST This appeared in the Indian Express on 31 December, 2022 (link) Restrictions imposed on activities were fully eased only around March this year. But, they had mostly been lifted by September 2021. We can now … Read more
Neelkanth Mishra | Last Updated at December 12, 2022 22:51 IST This was published in the Business Standard on December 13, 2022 (link). In the Tessellatum last month, we discussed the first major finding from our project assessing the impact of Asia’s ageing on the global supply of workers and savings, and on global economic … Read more
Thailand and China are at risk of growing old before they grow rich; India must grow its GDP at 8-9 per cent or more to avoid that fate Neelkanth Mishra | Last Updated at November 15, 2022 00:31 IST This appeared in the Business Standard on 15 November 2022 (link). As several large economies in … Read more
India’s strong medium-term growth outlook may not suffice for foreign capital to flow, as existing channels that bring global savings to India face turbulence Neelkanth MishraLast Updated at October 3, 2022 22:14 IST This appeared in the Business Standard on October 4, 2022 (link). “Why will global savings not flow to India if India has … Read more
A slowdown in global demand is underway; Pricing risks could be next, but monetary conditions can remain tight Neelkanth Mishra | Last Updated at September 07 2022 23:49 IST This appeared in the Business Standard on September 8, 2022 (link) This is supposed to be the busiest season for containerships ferrying goods from Asia to … Read more
Neelkanth Mishra | Aug 30, 2022 Key policymakers NK Singh and PK Mishra have written an insightful book on the dos and don’ts This appeared in the Times of India on August 31, 2022 (link). How does the will of the people translate into action? In a fast changing world, how should the few acting … Read more
Beyond a near-term reversal, foreign selling and domestic buying of Indian equities may resumeNeelkanth Mishra | Last Updated at August 1, 2022 22:45 IST This was published in the Business Standard on August 2, 2022 (link). Foreign portfolio investors (FPI) have turned net buyers of Indian equities in the last two weeks after 10 consecutive … Read more
RBI may target 3-4% depreciation per quarter till trade deficit, at a record high, remains a problem Neelkanth Mishra | Jul 4, 2022. This appeared in the Times of India on July 5, 2022 (link). With oil prices up, a record trade deficit of US$70.25bn in the April-June quarter, rupee sliding and GoI taking some … Read more
Growth downturns can expose vulnerabilities that increase market risks Neelkanth Mishra | July 4, 2022 22:44 IST This appeared in the Business Standard on July 5, 2022 (link). There are two drivers of market downturns: Cuts to forward earnings estimates and a decline in the price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple that investors ascribe to them. A 15 … Read more