Piecing together disparate data for economic and market insights
By Neelkanth Mishra, Last Updated: Sep 06, 2023, 05:39 AM IST This was published in the Economic Times on September 6, 2023 (link) India’s business services exports have grown so rapidly of late that their incremental impact is now nearly as large as that of IT Services exports. While their base is smaller, they grew … Read more
Unlike many times earlier, the Communist leadership may not have a policy fix for China’s economic troubles this time. This has serious repercussions for the country and the world. Neelkanth Mishra | 16 August 2023 This was published in the Times of India on 16 August 2023 (link). This is not the first time that … Read more
With global economic policy preferences being the opposite of those seen after the 2008-09 crisis, so should be the implicationsNeelkanth Mishra | Last Updated : Jul 13 2023 | 9:33 PM IST This appeared in the Business Standard on July 14, 2023 (link). Despite headline inflation having moderated meaningfully from the peak, bond yields in … Read more
The persistent gap between credit and deposit growth has perplexed many. Could it be due to shortfalls in money injection by the RBI?Neelkanth Mishra | Jun 05 2023 | 8:54 PM IST This appeared in the Business Standard on 6 June 2023 (link). Over the past year, deposit growth in the Indian banking system has … Read more
Continuing fiscal laxity in the US means monetary policy must do more of the inflation fighting, increasing risks of financial accidents Neelkanth Mishra | Last Updated : May 08 2023 | 10:16 PM IST This appeared in the Business Standard on 9 May 2023 (link). Volatility in stock prices of US banks has persisted, even … Read more
Recent evidence of a sharp slowdown in house construction in major markets poses downside risks to global growthNeelkanth Mishra | Apr 10 2023 | 10:31 PM IST This appeared in the Business Standard on April 11, 2023 (link). An important and potent channel of monetary policy transmission is the housing market. Weakness in housing demand … Read more
The failure of SVB was due to idiosyncratic reasons, but shows how higher rates can expose fault lines in unforeseen placesNeelkanth Mishra | Last Updated at March 13, 2023 22:54 IST This appeared in the Business Standard on March 14, 2023 (link). Over the past several months, as interest-rate expectations have risen rapidly, we have … Read more
Ageing populations are likely to slow capital formation in North Asia, hurting global growth Neelkanth Mishra | Published in the Business Standard on February 06, 2023 (link) In Tessellatum in the last three months, we have discussed three of the major implications of Asia’s ageing: That demographic shift in 10 major Asian economies (the A-10: … Read more
As the resilience of the domestic economy gets tested by global headwinds, deft fiscal manoeuvres may be necessary Updated: February 2, 2023 07:40 IST | Neelkanth Mishra This appeared in the Indian Express on February 2, 2023 (link) As the state’s footprint on the economy has shrunk over the past three decades, the relevance of … Read more