India’s quantitative tightening

The persistent gap between credit and deposit growth has perplexed many. Could it be due to shortfalls in money injection by the RBI?Neelkanth Mishra | Jun 05 2023 | 8:54 PM IST This appeared in the Business Standard on 6 June 2023 (link). Over the past year, deposit growth in the Indian banking system has … Read more

A potent channel

Recent evidence of a sharp slowdown in house construction in major markets poses downside risks to global growthNeelkanth Mishra | Apr 10 2023 | 10:31 PM IST This appeared in the Business Standard on April 11, 2023 (link). An important and potent channel of monetary policy transmission is the housing market. Weakness in housing demand … Read more

The accidents have started

The failure of SVB was due to idiosyncratic reasons, but shows how higher rates can expose fault lines in unforeseen placesNeelkanth Mishra | Last Updated at March 13, 2023 22:54 IST This appeared in the Business Standard on March 14, 2023 (link). Over the past several months, as interest-rate expectations have risen rapidly, we have … Read more

What will drive global growth?

Ageing populations are likely to slow capital formation in North Asia, hurting global growth Neelkanth Mishra | Published in the Business Standard on February 06, 2023 (link) In Tessellatum in the last three months, we have discussed three of the major implications of Asia’s ageing: That demographic shift in 10 major Asian economies (the A-10: … Read more

Choosing Stability over Populism

As the resilience of the domestic economy gets tested by global headwinds, deft fiscal manoeuvres may be necessary Updated: February 2, 2023 07:40 IST | Neelkanth Mishra This appeared in the Indian Express on February 2, 2023 (link) As the state’s footprint on the economy has shrunk over the past three decades, the relevance of … Read more

A better year than expected

While the economy may be slowing, it is growing above consensus estimates Neelkanth Mishra | December 31, 2022 11:56 IST This appeared in the Indian Express on 31 December, 2022 (link) Restrictions imposed on activities were fully eased only around March this year. But, they had mostly been lifted by September 2021. We can now … Read more