Piecing together disparate data for economic and market insights
This appeared on Bloomberg (link): Ronojoy and I discussed how the budget re-affirmed the government’s pro-growth stance visible since the expansion of the PLI schemes in Nov-2020, bond yields, bad bank, etc.
Aware of its own limitations, the government is carefully supporting industrial and consumer sentiment to take economy back to pre-pandemic pathIn some ways, what the government did not do is as important while assessing its focus on the quality of expenditure.Written by Neelkanth Mishra | February 2, 2021 3:00:06 am This appeared in the Indian … Read more
The pandemic will leave some economic scars globally; given the uncertainty in the global economy and polity, our policymakers must avoid dogma and remain agile. Neelkanth Mishra | January 9, 2021This appear in India Today (link). ISSUE DATE: January 18, 2021 UPDATED: January 9, 2021 02:36 IST Hope 2021 is better than 2020” sets a … Read more
The contraction seen in first-quarter GDP data is severe, but not unexpected. What should be done — or not done – at the level of govt policy so that the economy gets a chance to rebound as quickly as possible?Written by Neelkanth Mishra | Updated: September 13, 2020 11:43:51 am (This was published in the … Read more
With destocking over, growth is stabilising but its revival faces several pro-cyclical headwindsNeelkanth Mishra | Last Updated at January 16, 2020 00:33 IST (This was published in the Business Standard: link) The (only) good feature of destocking-led economic slowdowns is that they end. After all, you cannot keep cutting inventories indefinitely. A significant part of … Read more
Fight against the last vestiges of inflation threatens to undo significant policy gains of recent yearsNeelkanth Mishra | Last Updated at June 5, 2019 02:18 IST (This was published in the Business Standard: link) It is rare for consensus to emerge among hundreds of millions of humans. When it does, like it did in the … Read more
New government should utilise its enormous political capital to introduce economic reformsWritten by Neelkanth Mishra | Updated: May 31, 2019 2:05:12 am (This was published in the Indian Express: link) Hundreds of millions of people rarely agree on who should make decisions on their behalf. The BJP now has an overwhelming majority in the Lok … Read more
The constraints in the financial system have further worsened the monetary tightness. As growth continues to slow and inflation stays below the target, interest rates may keep falling, but likely not fast enough to revive growth quickly.Written by Neelkanth Mishra | Updated: April 17, 2019 7:38:21 am (This was published in the Indian Express: link) … Read more
Economic growth solves many problems. Can lower interest rates help reverse the slowdown?Neelkanth Mishra | Last Updated at March 6, 2019 01:08 IST (This was published in the Business Standard: link) Debatable as the analytical utility of quarterly GDP statistics in India may be, the continuing drop in growth rates as recently reported for the … Read more
A 7 per cent GDP growth rate may be lower than what India aspires for, but over a five-year horizon this means 40 per cent higher demandNeelkanth Mishra | Last Updated at February 7, 2019 23:49 IST (This was published in the Business Standard: link) After a long period of weakness, investment activity in the … Read more