Untested Covid control

Will the strategy of society instead of the State controlling the virus be tested by rising deaths?Neelkanth Mishra | Last Updated at June 3, 2020 00:04 IST (This was published in the Business Standard: link) “Countries would be assessed on State capacity,” said a New York-based investor who specialises in trading on macroeconomic trends. This … Read more

The Credit Lifeline

We believe a continued focus on reforms and on sustaining India’s growth potential will be critical in preventing macroeconomic instability.Written by Neelkanth Mishra | Updated: May 15, 2020 9:52:41 am (This was published in the Indian Express: link) The battle against the virus is likely to last several more months, implying prolonged curtailment of economic … Read more

Who should bear the losses?

It may be better for governments to bear the losses upfront than after the damage is doneNeelkanth Mishra | Last Updated at May 5, 2020 23:53 IST (This was published in the Business Standard: link) It now looks clear that we must learn to live with coronavirus, as the active case count is unlikely to … Read more

Can we stop the clock?

To minimise economic damage during the lockdown, focus on cash flows, promise of growthNeelkanth Mishra | Last Updated at March 31, 2020 23:49 IST (This was published in the Business Standard: link) “I have seen power blackouts as enemy bombers flew overhead, have stood in long queues to collect kerosene, and have lived through food … Read more

How to minimise the damage

Some observers are also concerned about what high deficits would do to India’s credit ratings. It remains to be seen how agencies respond to globally large fiscal deficits monetised by central banks; India may not be an outlier here.Written by Neelkanth Mishra | Updated: March 28, 2020 10:49:41 am (This was published in the Indian … Read more

Stresses, known and unknown

Global financial market stress driving market volatility; economic impact of coronavirus and drop in oil prices remain uncertainNeelkanth Mishra | Last Updated at March 15, 2020 23:06 IST (This was published in the Business Standard: link) Global markets are in turmoil. Some volatility is normal: Existential issues generally crop up every year or two, causing … Read more