Can forex reserves plug India’s dollar shortage?

RBI may target 3-4% depreciation per quarter till trade deficit, at a record high, remains a problem Neelkanth Mishra | Jul 4, 2022. This appeared in the Times of India on July 5, 2022 (link). With oil prices up, a record trade deficit of US$70.25bn in the April-June quarter, rupee sliding and GoI taking some … Read more

The risk of accidents

Growth downturns can expose vulnerabilities that increase market risks Neelkanth Mishra | July 4, 2022 22:44 IST This appeared in the Business Standard on July 5, 2022 (link). There are two drivers of market downturns: Cuts to forward earnings estimates and a decline in the price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple that investors ascribe to them. A 15 … Read more

Wheat: Don’t rush into export ‘opportunity’ presented by Russia-Ukraine conflict

Not delivering on quality or not honouring commitments sustainably can have counter-productive long-term effects Written by Devesh Roy , Neelkanth Mishra | Updated: April 21, 2022 6:48:51 am This column, co-authored with Devesh @ IFPRI first appeared in the print edition on April 21, 2022 under the title ‘India’s wheat opportunity’ (link). The effects of … Read more

Too Many Dollars in Reserve?

Neelkanth Mishra | April 19, 2022, 8:31PM IST This appeared in the Times of India on April 20, 2022 (link) Sanctions following the Russia-Ukraine conflict have triggered much discussion on how other countries would manage their foreign currency (FX) reserves going forward. These reserves are a country’s insurance against economic shocks, like households or companies … Read more